1976: The Fragmentation of Public Policy Analysis: The Example of U.S. Regulatory Policy

Dubnick, Melvin J., “The Fragmentation of Public Policy Analysis: The Example of U.S. Regulatory Policy .” Presented at the meeting of the Western Social Science Association, Tempe, AZ, April 30, 1976.

AI-generated Summary:

Evolution of Regulatory Policy Analysis

  • The study of government regulation has gone through three phases, shifting focus from structures to behavior to policy output.
  • The first phase emphasized institutional forms and decision-rules of regulation, mainly before and during WWII.
  • The second phase focused on empirical studies of regulator behavior and application of law to facts.
  • The third phase centers on regulatory policy as the output produced by structures, procedures, and behaviors.
  • Early reformers aimed for efficiency, equity, and justice through administrative procedures and decision-rules.
  • Empirical research shifted attention to how regulators actually apply laws and respond to economic and political contexts.
  • Critics argued that traditional classifications and legalistic approaches failed to explain regulatory outcomes.
  • The development of embryonic theories of regulation aimed to explain policy quality and decision-making processes.
  • Economists revived interest in regulation effects in the 1960s, analyzing impacts on firms and markets.
  • Theories from the Chicago School and others view regulation as driven by rational, utility-maximizing actors.
  • These theories link causes, processes, and consequences of regulation, emphasizing policy as the focal point.
  • There is a growing recognition of the need for a comprehensive, testable theory of regulation to unify fragmented analysis.

State of Policy Analysis in Social Sciences

  • Public policy analysis is highly interdisciplinary, combining tools from various social sciences.
  • Different disciplines have contributed to understanding policy causes, processes, and effects but remain fragmented.
  • There is no single overarching paradigm, leading to diverse and sometimes conflicting approaches.
  • The lack of a unifying framework hampers the development of integrated theories and models.
  • Some scholars advocate for developing theories through empirical testing of hypotheses.
  • The current crisis in policy analysis stems from methodological fragmentation and disciplinary boundaries.
  • Theories of regulation are often models from earlier analyses, extended to policy contexts.
  • Economists focus on efficiency and market impacts, while political scientists examine decision-making processes.
  • Theories like capture, public interest, and structural models explain different facets of regulation.
  • New models are emerging that relate causes and effects more comprehensively, but they are still limited.
  • Developing a general, empirically testable theory of regulation is seen as a crucial goal.
  • Such a theory would aid both academic understanding and practical policymaking.

Challenges in Integrating Policy Analysis

  • The dominant systems framework offers a broad view but perpetuates disciplinary separation.
  • It provides a superficial structure without substantive hypotheses or testable propositions.
  • The framework tends to reinforce compartmentalization among political scientists, economists, and others.
  • There is a need for a theoretical scheme that offers specific, testable statements about policy phenomena.
  • Existing theories are often competing and lack integration into a unified perspective.
  • Ostrom and others suggest developing theories through empirical testing of alternative hypotheses.
  • Fragmentation results from the absence of a comprehensive, substantive paradigm.
  • The development of a valid, useful theory of regulation is essential for progress.
  • Researchers should inventory existing propositions and test them across different levels of government.
  • Emphasizing local and state regulation studies can improve understanding and reduce bias.
  • A systematic, empirical approach can help build a substantive, integrated theory of regulation.

Future Directions for Regulatory Policy Research

  • The effort demands substantial resources and a long-term commitment to scientific progress.
  • The goal is to develop a general, empirically verifiable theory of regulation that guides policy and analysis.
  • Such a theory would connect causes, processes, and consequences of regulation in a meaningful way.
  • Researchers should focus on testing hypotheses derived from existing models and theories.
  • Empirical evidence is crucial for refining and validating theories of regulation.
  • Developing a comprehensive theory requires collaboration across disciplines and levels of government.
  • The process involves inventorying propositions, designing research, and testing hypotheses rigorously.
  • Local and state-level studies are vital to avoid overgeneralization from federal-focused research.
  • A valid theory of regulation would facilitate better policy prescriptions and understanding.

Author’s Note:

This is a lost paper “found” among someone’s collection of old papers at Indiana University, and now part of IU’s Digital Library of the Commons (http://dlc.dlib.indiana.edu/) — a library associated with Elinor Ostrom’s “workshop” at IU. I received a request to “digitize” the paper, and quite frankly I had no recollection of the paper, although I do remember the background for writing it.

From 1974 to 1976 I taught at Emporia Kansas State College (now Emporia State University) — an interesting place to start one’s academic career, filled with wonderful colleagues, although a bit too isolated after having lived in Boulder for six very stimulating years. One of the benefits of being at such a place at the time was being eligible for the NSF “Chautauqua” Short Course program that took pity on those of us out in the smaller, more rural parts of the US and brought us to locations where we would take courses from people like Elinor Ostrom of IU (her course was on policy analysis) and Moshe Rubinstein of UCLA (an engineer whose course was on problem solving). Both were wonderful experiences, and I was particularly inspired by Lin Ostrom’s course which then featured her work on metropolitan government. Between the two of them I not only got the theory-building/theory-testing “bug”, but also found myself itching to actually write on policy analysis and seek another academic venue where publishing and research was rewarded (in September 1976 we packed up for Chicago where I taught at Loyola for four years….)

Although Ostrom’s course was on metropolitan reform, my project was on health care reform (timely even then), but my interest began to focus on regulatory policy studies. Obviously, this paper was the first “public” presentation of my thoughts on both policy studies and regulatory policy — and as I read it for the first time in 34 years, I was actually pretty pleased with the analysis and critical approach reflected in the paper. But there are other things about the paper to point out. First, this is actually typed(!), probably on an IBM selectric or some other monstrosity. And obviously this is a Xerox copy, but might also be a “mimeograph” copy (look that one up!). To have it now digitized is really kind of a thrill — as is the fact that someone at the Ostrom Workshop thought it worthy of preserving and posting after all these years. (Having always regarded Lin as a mentor of sorts, I probably sent her a copy so this might be from her papers which, I assume, was being gathered….)

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